Weekly Weather Watch: Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024
The headlines include Hurricane Beryl, hot conditions for Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi and the West, and severe thunderstorms and flash flooding in the Midwest through midweek.
Monthly Members, your July weather outlook was delivered to you yesterday.
THE PATTERN:
For this week:
Abnormally hot weather for the West, South, and Southeast through the 8th. The West has a number of potential daily record highs to be set.
Hot weather also hits parts of Canada. From northern Alberta to Northern Manitoba.
Severe weather throughout the Central U.S. this week, including July 4th.
Heavy precipitation for South Texas, depending on the eventual track of Hurricane Beryl.
Heavy precipitation for parts of the Canadian Maritimes.
For next week:
For the West, the hot weather continues through the 12th.
Keep an eye on Hurricane Beryl’s potential impact on Mexico, Texas, and the central Gulf Coast. Its track is far from locked in.
ON THE RADAR
The timing:
Potential severe weather areas:
IN THE GAUGES:
Total precipitation this week: Heavy rainfall continues to focus on the Midwest toward Great Lakes and into Ontario and Quebec. Moisture continues for parts of Mexico into the far southern Southwest. Notice heavy rainfall in pockets from Florida and along the Eastern Seaboard.
THE MERCURY:
Record heat this week: The West holds the highest potential to set several daily record highs.
TRACKING THE TROPICS
Hurricane Beryl’s track: remains favorable for entering the Gulf of Mexico; thereafter, it is too early to say if Mexico will be the landfall or if the storm will turn northward toward Texas and the Gulf Coast States. Use the National Hurricane Center’s information to keep up to date.
ARE YOU CIRRUS
“Hurricane Beryl is the strongest July Atlantic hurricane on record, breaking old record of 160 mph set by Emily (2005). Prior record for earliest calendar year Atlantic hurricane with 165 mph max winds is Allen (1980) on 5 August.” source: Philip Klotzbach, CSU.
As we close out 2025 and ring in the new year, the weather pattern stays anything but quiet. A multi-day lake-effect snow event is burying areas downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario, where over 3 feet of snow could fall in the most persistent bands—creating whiteout squalls and treacherous travel through New Year's Day. Meanwhile, Arctic air is spilling deep into the Southeast, sending temperatures below freezing as far south as Florida, with frost and freeze alerts in place. On the other side of the country, a Pacific storm system will bring rounds of heavy rain and a flash flood threat to Southern California, especially around Los Angeles, starting late New Year's Eve. Elsewhere, a couple of fast-moving clippers will spread freezing rain and snow to Alberta, then snow across the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and into New England, while a developing storm may bring soaking rain and thunderstorms from the Deep South to the Southeast Coast by the weekend. Even Northern California faces an atmospheric river event late week, setting the stage for an active and disruptive start to 2026.